The Parti Québécois holds a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5 election, driven by its dominant position among francophone voters in a first-past-the-post system that favors concentrated regional support. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis place the PQ at 28-30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24-27 percent and the PLQ at 20-22 percent, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada assigning the PQ an 84 percent chance of winning the most seats. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap through gains among francophones and positioning on economic stability amid U.S. tariff concerns, while Liberal support has eroded. High levels of undecided voters—around 40 percent in late August polling—leave room for late shifts, though the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings underpin current trader pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,722 Vol.
$887,722 Vol.
2026/10/04
PQ
72%
CAQ
26%
PLQ
3%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,722 Vol.
$887,722 Vol.
2026/10/04
PQ
$117,699 Vol.
72%
CAQ
$136,328 Vol.
26%
PLQ
$123,484 Vol.
3%
PCQ
$246,166 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5 election, driven by its dominant position among francophone voters in a first-past-the-post system that favors concentrated regional support. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis place the PQ at 28-30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24-27 percent and the PLQ at 20-22 percent, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada assigning the PQ an 84 percent chance of winning the most seats. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap through gains among francophones and positioning on economic stability amid U.S. tariff concerns, while Liberal support has eroded. High levels of undecided voters—around 40 percent in late August polling—leave room for late shifts, though the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings underpin current trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$887,722終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5 election, driven by its dominant position among francophone voters in a first-past-the-post system that favors concentrated regional support. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis place the PQ at 28-30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24-27 percent and the PLQ at 20-22 percent, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada assigning the PQ an 84 percent chance of winning the most seats. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap through gains among francophones and positioning on economic stability amid U.S. tariff concerns, while Liberal support has eroded. High levels of undecided voters—around 40 percent in late August polling—leave room for late shifts, though the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings underpin current trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$887,722終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds a consistent polling lead entering the final month before the October 5 election, driven by its dominant position among francophone voters in a first-past-the-post system that favors concentrated regional support. Recent surveys from Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis place the PQ at 28-30 percent, ahead of the CAQ at 24-27 percent and the PLQ at 20-22 percent, with seat projections from models such as 338Canada assigning the PQ an 84 percent chance of winning the most seats. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap through gains among francophones and positioning on economic stability amid U.S. tariff concerns, while Liberal support has eroded. High levels of undecided voters—around 40 percent in late August polling—leave room for late shifts, though the PQ's structural advantages in key ridings underpin current trader pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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