The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Prospect Heights, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Yvette Clarke benefits from repeated high-margin victories, including over 80 percent in the prior cycle, established name recognition, and limited visible opposition from the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major recent shifts in polling or fundraising reported, traders price in continuity. A Democratic hold could face pressure only from an unforeseen late development such as a candidate health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,488 Vol.
$40,488 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$40,488 Vol.
$40,488 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,282 Vol.
95%
共和党
$21,207 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Prospect Heights, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Yvette Clarke benefits from repeated high-margin victories, including over 80 percent in the prior cycle, established name recognition, and limited visible opposition from the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major recent shifts in polling or fundraising reported, traders price in continuity. A Democratic hold could face pressure only from an unforeseen late development such as a candidate health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$40,488終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Prospect Heights, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Yvette Clarke benefits from repeated high-margin victories, including over 80 percent in the prior cycle, established name recognition, and limited visible opposition from the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major recent shifts in polling or fundraising reported, traders price in continuity. A Democratic hold could face pressure only from an unforeseen late development such as a candidate health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,488終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, anchored in Brooklyn neighborhoods such as Crown Heights and Prospect Heights, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Yvette Clarke benefits from repeated high-margin victories, including over 80 percent in the prior cycle, established name recognition, and limited visible opposition from the Republican challenger. With the general election set for November 2026 and no major recent shifts in polling or fundraising reported, traders price in continuity. A Democratic hold could face pressure only from an unforeseen late development such as a candidate health issue, ethics controversy, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問