Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+24 and his 75% re-election margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate. Jeffries secured his primary without significant opposition, while Republican Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed after the June 23, 2026, primary was canceled. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent further reinforces trader consensus. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan imbalance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,576 Vol.
$32,576 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$32,576 Vol.
$32,576 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,093 Vol.
95%
共和党
$18,483 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+24 and his 75% re-election margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate. Jeffries secured his primary without significant opposition, while Republican Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed after the June 23, 2026, primary was canceled. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent further reinforces trader consensus. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan imbalance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$32,576終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+24 and his 75% re-election margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate. Jeffries secured his primary without significant opposition, while Republican Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed after the June 23, 2026, primary was canceled. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent further reinforces trader consensus. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan imbalance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,576終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding position in New York’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+24 and his 75% re-election margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s Brooklyn-based electorate. Jeffries secured his primary without significant opposition, while Republican Lewis Mizrahi advanced unopposed after the June 23, 2026, primary was canceled. Substantial fundraising by the incumbent further reinforces trader consensus. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural partisan imbalance ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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