Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+8 Cook PVI and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Knott secured renomination with roughly 90% in the March Republican primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more divided Democratic primary. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, underpins trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. No recent polling has emerged to challenge this positioning, and the absence of major shifts in the race since the primaries has kept probabilities stable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
共和党
$4,197 Vol.
84%
民主党
$5,271 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+8 Cook PVI and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Knott secured renomination with roughly 90% in the March Republican primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more divided Democratic primary. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, underpins trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. No recent polling has emerged to challenge this positioning, and the absence of major shifts in the race since the primaries has kept probabilities stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$9,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+8 Cook PVI and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Knott secured renomination with roughly 90% in the March Republican primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more divided Democratic primary. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, underpins trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. No recent polling has emerged to challenge this positioning, and the absence of major shifts in the race since the primaries has kept probabilities stable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+8 Cook PVI and Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Knott secured renomination with roughly 90% in the March Republican primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer advanced from a more divided Democratic primary. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, underpins trader consensus around an 83.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. No recent polling has emerged to challenge this positioning, and the absence of major shifts in the race since the primaries has kept probabilities stable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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