**Recent official forecasts position 23–24°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 31.** The Japan Meteorological Agency projects a low of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest radiative cooling limited by high humidity and cloud cover. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with the Aug 30 minimum reaching 19.6–20°C amid scattered showers, yet models indicate stabilization near 23–24°C as a weak high-pressure ridge maintains mild advection. Historical late-August baselines average around 22–24°C, and current steering patterns plus dew points near 21–22°C reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 22°C. Traders have concentrated probability on these values ahead of the final observational window, reflecting strong model consensus with limited upside for warmer or colder outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の東京の最低気温は？
8月31日の東京の最低気温は？
24°C 59%
23°C 26%
22°C 9%
20°C or below <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
59%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 59%
23°C 26%
22°C 9%
20°C or below <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
20°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$260 Vol.
9%
23°C
$780 Vol.
26%
24°C
$594 Vol.
59%
25°C
$1,566 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 23–24°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 31.** The Japan Meteorological Agency projects a low of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest radiative cooling limited by high humidity and cloud cover. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with the Aug 30 minimum reaching 19.6–20°C amid scattered showers, yet models indicate stabilization near 23–24°C as a weak high-pressure ridge maintains mild advection. Historical late-August baselines average around 22–24°C, and current steering patterns plus dew points near 21–22°C reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 22°C. Traders have concentrated probability on these values ahead of the final observational window, reflecting strong model consensus with limited upside for warmer or colder outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$5,751終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 23–24°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 31.** The Japan Meteorological Agency projects a low of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest radiative cooling limited by high humidity and cloud cover. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with the Aug 30 minimum reaching 19.6–20°C amid scattered showers, yet models indicate stabilization near 23–24°C as a weak high-pressure ridge maintains mild advection. Historical late-August baselines average around 22–24°C, and current steering patterns plus dew points near 21–22°C reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 22°C. Traders have concentrated probability on these values ahead of the final observational window, reflecting strong model consensus with limited upside for warmer or colder outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,751終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent official forecasts position 23–24°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Tokyo on August 31.** The Japan Meteorological Agency projects a low of 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest radiative cooling limited by high humidity and cloud cover. Recent observations confirm a cooling trend, with the Aug 30 minimum reaching 19.6–20°C amid scattered showers, yet models indicate stabilization near 23–24°C as a weak high-pressure ridge maintains mild advection. Historical late-August baselines average around 22–24°C, and current steering patterns plus dew points near 21–22°C reduce the likelihood of sharper drops below 22°C. Traders have concentrated probability on these values ahead of the final observational window, reflecting strong model consensus with limited upside for warmer or colder outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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