**Trader consensus centers on an 11°C overnight low for Moscow on August 30, 2026, reflecting model consensus from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international guidance projecting minimums of 9–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, supported by recent model runs showing limited radiative cooling due to cloudiness and a moderating southerly flow. Historical records indicate occasional colder nights (e.g., 3.1°C in 1973), but current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecasts lack signals for strong high-pressure development or clear skies that would drive temperatures significantly below the expected range. Key upcoming resolution factors include final observational data from Moscow stations overnight, with potential for minor revisions if precipitation or wind shifts alter the boundary layer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のモスクワの最低気温は?
11°C 98%
10°C 15.4%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
15%
11°C
98%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 98%
10°C 15.4%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
15%
11°C
98%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on an 11°C overnight low for Moscow on August 30, 2026, reflecting model consensus from sources such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international guidance projecting minimums of 9–13°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds.** This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, supported by recent model runs showing limited radiative cooling due to cloudiness and a moderating southerly flow. Historical records indicate occasional colder nights (e.g., 3.1°C in 1973), but current atmospheric conditions and short-range forecasts lack signals for strong high-pressure development or clear skies that would drive temperatures significantly below the expected range. Key upcoming resolution factors include final observational data from Moscow stations overnight, with potential for minor revisions if precipitation or wind shifts alter the boundary layer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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