Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 1 likely between 19–21°C under mostly sunny skies and northeast winds of 5–8 m/s. This positioning stems from post-storm stabilization after late-August cooling, with clear conditions and moderate pressure gradients preventing stronger radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime buildup. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainties in exact timing of the daily minimum and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 19–22°C. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once September 1 concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のイスタンブールの最低気温は?
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
18°C 49%
26°C or higher 48%
16°C or below
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
48%
19°C 50%
24°C 50%
18°C 49%
26°C or higher 48%
16°C or below
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C
50%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including GFS data, indicate a minimum temperature in Istanbul on September 1 likely between 19–21°C under mostly sunny skies and northeast winds of 5–8 m/s. This positioning stems from post-storm stabilization after late-August cooling, with clear conditions and moderate pressure gradients preventing stronger radiative cooling overnight while limiting daytime buildup. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainties in exact timing of the daily minimum and boundary-layer mixing, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around 19–22°C. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once September 1 concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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