Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs aligned with official agency guidance, centers the overnight minimum in Cape Town on August 30 near 10°C under clear skies and moderate southerly winds. These conditions promote steady radiational cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would otherwise alter the profile. Historical August minima average 7–10°C, placing the current setup close to climatological norms for the date. Traders assign 94% implied probability to exactly 10°C as the lowest temperature because ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from the prevailing high-pressure regime. A realistic shift would require a sharper drop in wind speeds or unexpected model revisions showing enhanced cooling, though surface observations through the evening continue to track the 10–11°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
8月30日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
10°C 94%
8°C 5%
7°C 2%
9°C 1%
$2,028 Vol.
$2,028 Vol.
2026/08/30
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
94%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 94%
8°C 5%
7°C 2%
9°C 1%
$2,028 Vol.
$2,028 Vol.
2026/08/30
6°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$35 Vol.
2%
8°C
$105 Vol.
5%
9°C
$340 Vol.
7%
10°C
$632 Vol.
94%
11°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$77 Vol.
1%
14°C
$35 Vol.
1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs aligned with official agency guidance, centers the overnight minimum in Cape Town on August 30 near 10°C under clear skies and moderate southerly winds. These conditions promote steady radiational cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would otherwise alter the profile. Historical August minima average 7–10°C, placing the current setup close to climatological norms for the date. Traders assign 94% implied probability to exactly 10°C as the lowest temperature because ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from the prevailing high-pressure regime. A realistic shift would require a sharper drop in wind speeds or unexpected model revisions showing enhanced cooling, though surface observations through the evening continue to track the 10–11°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$2,028終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs aligned with official agency guidance, centers the overnight minimum in Cape Town on August 30 near 10°C under clear skies and moderate southerly winds. These conditions promote steady radiational cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would otherwise alter the profile. Historical August minima average 7–10°C, placing the current setup close to climatological norms for the date. Traders assign 94% implied probability to exactly 10°C as the lowest temperature because ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from the prevailing high-pressure regime. A realistic shift would require a sharper drop in wind speeds or unexpected model revisions showing enhanced cooling, though surface observations through the evening continue to track the 10–11°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,028終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources, including model outputs aligned with official agency guidance, centers the overnight minimum in Cape Town on August 30 near 10°C under clear skies and moderate southerly winds. These conditions promote steady radiational cooling without significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that would otherwise alter the profile. Historical August minima average 7–10°C, placing the current setup close to climatological norms for the date. Traders assign 94% implied probability to exactly 10°C as the lowest temperature because ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk from the prevailing high-pressure regime. A realistic shift would require a sharper drop in wind speeds or unexpected model revisions showing enhanced cooling, though surface observations through the evening continue to track the 10–11°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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