**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
8月29日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
17°C 100.0%
16°C 8%
12°C or below 7%
13°C <1%
$10,173 Vol.
$10,173 Vol.
2026/08/29
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
16°C 8%
12°C or below 7%
13°C <1%
$10,173 Vol.
$10,173 Vol.
2026/08/29
12°C or below
$17 Vol.
No
13°C
$178 Vol.
No
14°C
$43 Vol.
No
15°C
$53 Vol.
No
16°C
$61 Vol.
No
17°C
$101 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$9,585 Vol.
No
19°C
$20 Vol.
No
20°C
$25 Vol.
No
21°C
$45 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$45 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$10,173終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,173終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C low in Amsterdam on August 29, 2026, at 99% implied probability.** Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds have limited overnight radiational cooling, with official forecasts and recent observations from Schiphol and surrounding stations showing minimums holding at or just above 17°C (roughly 62–63°F). This aligns with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance indicating mild conditions atypical for late-August climatology, where the long-term average low sits near 12.5°C. A brief clearing or stronger northerly shift could allow brief dips toward 16°C, but current atmospheric stability and moisture make further cooling unlikely before the daily minimum is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問