Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 23 project a daily maximum temperature near 33°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high solar insolation and southerly flow across the North China Plain. Multiple weather models align on highs of 32–34°C (90–94°F), consistent with climatological averages of 32–33°C for the month and recent observations showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong consensus among official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in precipitation or rapid advection of cooler air, which current ensemble runs do not support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 23 project a daily maximum temperature near 33°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions including high solar insolation and southerly flow across the North China Plain. Multiple weather models align on highs of 32–34°C (90–94°F), consistent with climatological averages of 32–33°C for the month and recent observations showing no significant cooling influences such as frontal passages or persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects this strong consensus among official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in precipitation or rapid advection of cooler air, which current ensemble runs do not support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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