Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 1 likely reaching 34–35°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 35°C as the leading market outcome at 54% implied probability, as coastal humidity and sea-breeze moderation typically cap extremes near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Traders appear to weigh slight above-normal model guidance and recent stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, while lower odds for 36°C or higher reflect limited potential for further intensification absent unusual synoptic shifts. Updated observations through the day will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35°C 55%
34°C 30%
36°C 13%
33°C 7%
$24,913 Vol.
$24,913 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
55%
36°C
13%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 55%
34°C 30%
36°C 13%
33°C 7%
$24,913 Vol.
$24,913 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
55%
36°C
13%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 1 likely reaching 34–35°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 35°C as the leading market outcome at 54% implied probability, as coastal humidity and sea-breeze moderation typically cap extremes near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Traders appear to weigh slight above-normal model guidance and recent stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, while lower odds for 36°C or higher reflect limited potential for further intensification absent unusual synoptic shifts. Updated observations through the day will refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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