Traders see 34–35°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s August 2 high because current ensemble forecasts from regional models place the daytime maximum near the upper end of long-term August norms around 31–33°C, tempered by Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate peak heating. Slight spreads between 34°C and 35°C reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of maximum insolation two days ahead, while lower probabilities for 36°C or above capture the limited upside if subsidence strengthens. No unusual synoptic features such as anomalous ridging are indicated in the latest guidance, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around climatological expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35°C 46%
34°C 33%
36°C 18%
33°C 4%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
33%
35°C
46%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 46%
34°C 33%
36°C 18%
33°C 4%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
33%
35°C
46%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 34–35°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s August 2 high because current ensemble forecasts from regional models place the daytime maximum near the upper end of long-term August norms around 31–33°C, tempered by Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate peak heating. Slight spreads between 34°C and 35°C reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of maximum insolation two days ahead, while lower probabilities for 36°C or above capture the limited upside if subsidence strengthens. No unusual synoptic features such as anomalous ridging are indicated in the latest guidance, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around climatological expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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