Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting current model consensus from regional forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon flow and high humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. Typical early-August climatology features average lows of 25–27°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited frontal activity this week keeping temperatures elevated. Recent observations indicate no significant typhoon or cold-air intrusion through the East China Sea, supporting the narrow 27–28°C cluster. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift these odds if unexpected cloud cover or wind patterns alter the overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日の上海の最低気温は？
8月2日の上海の最低気温は？
28℃ 50%
27°C 23%
29℃ 7%
26℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
2%
26℃
7%
27°C
23%
28℃
50%
29℃
7%
30°C
<1%
31℃
1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28℃ 50%
27°C 23%
29℃ 7%
26℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
23℃以下
$584 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$522 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$222 Vol.
2%
26℃
$276 Vol.
7%
27°C
$968 Vol.
23%
28℃
$1,919 Vol.
50%
29℃
$531 Vol.
7%
30°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$339 Vol.
1%
32°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$776 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting current model consensus from regional forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon flow and high humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. Typical early-August climatology features average lows of 25–27°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited frontal activity this week keeping temperatures elevated. Recent observations indicate no significant typhoon or cold-air intrusion through the East China Sea, supporting the narrow 27–28°C cluster. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift these odds if unexpected cloud cover or wind patterns alter the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$6,578終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting current model consensus from regional forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon flow and high humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. Typical early-August climatology features average lows of 25–27°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited frontal activity this week keeping temperatures elevated. Recent observations indicate no significant typhoon or cold-air intrusion through the East China Sea, supporting the narrow 27–28°C cluster. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift these odds if unexpected cloud cover or wind patterns alter the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,578終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability to a 28°C low in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting current model consensus from regional forecasts showing overnight minima stabilizing near 27–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon flow and high humidity that suppresses radiative cooling. Typical early-August climatology features average lows of 25–27°C, with urban heat-island effects and limited frontal activity this week keeping temperatures elevated. Recent observations indicate no significant typhoon or cold-air intrusion through the East China Sea, supporting the narrow 27–28°C cluster. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift these odds if unexpected cloud cover or wind patterns alter the overnight minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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