Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月2日のモスクワの最高気温は？
30℃ 46%
29°C 23%
31℃ 21%
28℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28℃
7%
29°C
23%
30℃
46%
31℃
21%
32°C
4%
33°C以上
2%
30℃ 46%
29°C 23%
31℃ 21%
28℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
23°C以下
$126 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$107 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$215 Vol.
1%
26°C
$716 Vol.
2%
27°C
$363 Vol.
3%
28℃
$154 Vol.
7%
29°C
$615 Vol.
23%
30℃
$761 Vol.
46%
31℃
$799 Vol.
21%
32°C
$190 Vol.
4%
33°C以上
$168 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$4,213終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,213終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate Moscow's August 2 high will likely reach 29–30°C, driven by a strengthening ridge of high pressure promoting southerly flow and mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected. Official guidance from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center aligns with this range, consistent with climatological peaks for early August when seasonal warmth often maximizes before gradual cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 30°C and nearby bins, incorporates model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from ensemble spreads. Upcoming high-resolution runs and observational updates from surface stations will further refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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