Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 1 high will likely reach 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 27 °C. This range sits near seasonal norms for early August, where average highs hover around 21–24 °C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported modest warming without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 26 °C or 29 °C lower while rendering outcomes below 25 °C or at 30 °C or above remote. Final official readings from Moscow stations will resolve the market once daytime maximums are confirmed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月1日のモスクワの最高気温は？
27℃ 56%
28°C 22%
26℃ 13%
29°C 9%
新規
$21,891 Vol.
新規
$21,891 Vol.
2026/08/01
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26℃
13%
27℃
56%
28°C
22%
29°C
9%
30℃以上
1%
27℃ 56%
28°C 22%
26℃ 13%
29°C 9%
新規
$21,891 Vol.
新規
$21,891 Vol.
2026/08/01
20℃以下
$469 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$728 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$848 Vol.
3%
26℃
$2,329 Vol.
13%
27℃
$2,857 Vol.
56%
28°C
$2,956 Vol.
22%
29°C
$7,120 Vol.
9%
30℃以上
$2,297 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 1 high will likely reach 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 27 °C. This range sits near seasonal norms for early August, where average highs hover around 21–24 °C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported modest warming without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 26 °C or 29 °C lower while rendering outcomes below 25 °C or at 30 °C or above remote. Final official readings from Moscow stations will resolve the market once daytime maximums are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$21,891終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 1 high will likely reach 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 27 °C. This range sits near seasonal norms for early August, where average highs hover around 21–24 °C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported modest warming without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 26 °C or 29 °C lower while rendering outcomes below 25 °C or at 30 °C or above remote. Final official readings from Moscow stations will resolve the market once daytime maximums are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$21,891終了日
2026/08/01マーケット開始日
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Moscow's August 1 high will likely reach 27–28 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and limited moisture, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for 27 °C. This range sits near seasonal norms for early August, where average highs hover around 21–24 °C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns have supported modest warming without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range guidance shows little model spread, keeping probabilities for 26 °C or 29 °C lower while rendering outcomes below 25 °C or at 30 °C or above remote. Final official readings from Moscow stations will resolve the market once daytime maximums are confirmed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問