Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. This outcome reflects typical early-August conditions in the Anatolian plateau, where daytime highs average 30–32°C but can moderate with stable high-pressure systems that limit convective heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant moisture influx that would alter surface temperatures, keeping implied probabilities concentrated between 27°C and 29°C. Official agencies continue to monitor for any last-minute adjustments to the maximum reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月1日のアンカラの最高気温は?
28°C 54%
27°C 21%
29°C 21%
30°C 3%
$20,762 Vol.
$20,762 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
21%
28°C
54%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 21%
29°C 21%
30°C 3%
$20,762 Vol.
$20,762 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
21%
28°C
54%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 29°C on August 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 28°C. This outcome reflects typical early-August conditions in the Anatolian plateau, where daytime highs average 30–32°C but can moderate with stable high-pressure systems that limit convective heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no significant moisture influx that would alter surface temperatures, keeping implied probabilities concentrated between 27°C and 29°C. Official agencies continue to monitor for any last-minute adjustments to the maximum reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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