The market has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Munich on August 29 because official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) weather station network recorded that peak value under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. Historical climatology for the region shows August daily maxima averaging near 23–24°C, so this reading aligns with expected seasonal norms without extreme heat advection. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments or alternative station readings differ by more than rounding thresholds. No significant model discrepancies or measurement uncertainties remain at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$62,566 Vol.
$62,566 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$62,566 Vol.
$62,566 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market has converged on 25°C as the highest temperature in Munich on August 29 because official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) weather station network recorded that peak value under clear skies and light winds typical of late-summer high-pressure conditions. Historical climatology for the region shows August daily maxima averaging near 23–24°C, so this reading aligns with expected seasonal norms without extreme heat advection. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality-control adjustments or alternative station readings differ by more than rounding thresholds. No significant model discrepancies or measurement uncertainties remain at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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