**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) place the expected daytime maximum in Mexico City at 24–26 °C for August 30, 2026.** This range directly supports the market’s concentration on 25 °C (51.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C or higher (38.0 %). Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy-season pattern keep temperatures moderate. Afternoon convection, driven by low-level moisture from the Pacific and weak low-pressure channels, produces widespread cloud cover, showers, and isolated thunderstorms that limit surface heating. SMN guidance explicitly notes east-southeast winds of 10–20 km/h with gusts to 30–50 km/h and a high probability of chubascos, conditions that favor a peak near 25 °C rather than sustained warming into the upper 20s. Hourly model guidance and real-time observations show temperatures climbing from morning lows of 12–14 °C to afternoon readings around 24–25 °C before convective cooling sets in, reinforcing the current market tilt. No anomalous heat or clear-sky subsidence is indicated, so the implied probabilities remain anchored to the consensus forecast range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
8月30日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25℃ 52%
26°C以上 36%
24°C 9%
23℃ 3%
$5,373 Vol.
$5,373 Vol.
2026/08/30
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
3%
24°C
9%
25℃
52%
26°C以上
36%
25℃ 52%
26°C以上 36%
24°C 9%
23℃ 3%
$5,373 Vol.
$5,373 Vol.
2026/08/30
16℃以下
$163 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$241 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$369 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$359 Vol.
1%
23℃
$374 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,168 Vol.
9%
25℃
$1,032 Vol.
52%
26°C以上
$984 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) place the expected daytime maximum in Mexico City at 24–26 °C for August 30, 2026.** This range directly supports the market’s concentration on 25 °C (51.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C or higher (38.0 %).
Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy-season pattern keep temperatures moderate. Afternoon convection, driven by low-level moisture from the Pacific and weak low-pressure channels, produces widespread cloud cover, showers, and isolated thunderstorms that limit surface heating. SMN guidance explicitly notes east-southeast winds of 10–20 km/h with gusts to 30–50 km/h and a high probability of chubascos, conditions that favor a peak near 25 °C rather than sustained warming into the upper 20s.
Hourly model guidance and real-time observations show temperatures climbing from morning lows of 12–14 °C to afternoon readings around 24–25 °C before convective cooling sets in, reinforcing the current market tilt. No anomalous heat or clear-sky subsidence is indicated, so the implied probabilities remain anchored to the consensus forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
音量
$5,373終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) place the expected daytime maximum in Mexico City at 24–26 °C for August 30, 2026.** This range directly supports the market’s concentration on 25 °C (51.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C or higher (38.0 %).
Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy-season pattern keep temperatures moderate. Afternoon convection, driven by low-level moisture from the Pacific and weak low-pressure channels, produces widespread cloud cover, showers, and isolated thunderstorms that limit surface heating. SMN guidance explicitly notes east-southeast winds of 10–20 km/h with gusts to 30–50 km/h and a high probability of chubascos, conditions that favor a peak near 25 °C rather than sustained warming into the upper 20s.
Hourly model guidance and real-time observations show temperatures climbing from morning lows of 12–14 °C to afternoon readings around 24–25 °C before convective cooling sets in, reinforcing the current market tilt. No anomalous heat or clear-sky subsidence is indicated, so the implied probabilities remain anchored to the consensus forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,373終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET**Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) place the expected daytime maximum in Mexico City at 24–26 °C for August 30, 2026.** This range directly supports the market’s concentration on 25 °C (51.5 % implied probability) and 26 °C or higher (38.0 %). Mexico City’s high elevation (~2,240 m) and the ongoing rainy-season pattern keep temperatures moderate. Afternoon convection, driven by low-level moisture from the Pacific and weak low-pressure channels, produces widespread cloud cover, showers, and isolated thunderstorms that limit surface heating. SMN guidance explicitly notes east-southeast winds of 10–20 km/h with gusts to 30–50 km/h and a high probability of chubascos, conditions that favor a peak near 25 °C rather than sustained warming into the upper 20s. Hourly model guidance and real-time observations show temperatures climbing from morning lows of 12–14 °C to afternoon readings around 24–25 °C before convective cooling sets in, reinforcing the current market tilt. No anomalous heat or clear-sky subsidence is indicated, so the implied probabilities remain anchored to the consensus forecast range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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