Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain showers associated with Mexico City's peak rainy season are suppressing daytime heating on August 23, concentrating trader consensus around 21–22 °C. High humidity and reduced solar insolation limit surface warming despite the high-elevation subtropical highland location, where climatological August maxima average near 23–24 °C. Official forecasts and model guidance emphasize overcast conditions with light northerly flow, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms and sharply reducing odds for 24 °C or higher. The tight clustering between 21 °C and 22 °C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, both of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
21°C 30%
22℃ 30%
20°C 21%
23℃ 8%
$11,968 Vol.
$11,968 Vol.
18℃以下
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
30%
22℃
30%
23℃
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
21°C 30%
22℃ 30%
20°C 21%
23℃ 8%
$11,968 Vol.
$11,968 Vol.
18℃以下
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
21%
21°C
30%
22℃
30%
23℃
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain showers associated with Mexico City's peak rainy season are suppressing daytime heating on August 23, concentrating trader consensus around 21–22 °C. High humidity and reduced solar insolation limit surface warming despite the high-elevation subtropical highland location, where climatological August maxima average near 23–24 °C. Official forecasts and model guidance emphasize overcast conditions with light northerly flow, keeping maximum temperatures below seasonal norms and sharply reducing odds for 24 °C or higher. The tight clustering between 21 °C and 22 °C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, both of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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