Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, fueled by recent tropical systems east of Luzon, is driving cloudy skies, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Manila on September 6, which limits daytime heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to highs near 29–30 °C under these moist, overcast conditions typical of the September rainy season, with high humidity and southwest winds further moderating extremes. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but the current pattern of frequent rainfall has shifted trader consensus toward the 30 °C outcome at 42 % implied probability, followed closely by 29 °C and 31 °C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-day observational data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月6日のマニラの最高気温は？
30℃ 43%
29℃ 24%
31°C 21%
28℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
23°C以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
3%
28℃
8%
29℃
24%
30℃
43%
31°C
21%
32℃
6%
33℃以上
2%
30℃ 43%
29℃ 24%
31°C 21%
28℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
23°C以下
$510 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$183 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$268 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$500 Vol.
3%
28℃
$248 Vol.
8%
29℃
$477 Vol.
24%
30℃
$794 Vol.
43%
31°C
$547 Vol.
21%
32℃
$435 Vol.
6%
33℃以上
$55 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, fueled by recent tropical systems east of Luzon, is driving cloudy skies, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Manila on September 6, which limits daytime heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to highs near 29–30 °C under these moist, overcast conditions typical of the September rainy season, with high humidity and southwest winds further moderating extremes. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but the current pattern of frequent rainfall has shifted trader consensus toward the 30 °C outcome at 42 % implied probability, followed closely by 29 °C and 31 °C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-day observational data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$4,572終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, fueled by recent tropical systems east of Luzon, is driving cloudy skies, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Manila on September 6, which limits daytime heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to highs near 29–30 °C under these moist, overcast conditions typical of the September rainy season, with high humidity and southwest winds further moderating extremes. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but the current pattern of frequent rainfall has shifted trader consensus toward the 30 °C outcome at 42 % implied probability, followed closely by 29 °C and 31 °C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-day observational data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,572終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, fueled by recent tropical systems east of Luzon, is driving cloudy skies, widespread showers, and thunderstorms over Manila on September 6, which limits daytime heating and caps maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs point to highs near 29–30 °C under these moist, overcast conditions typical of the September rainy season, with high humidity and southwest winds further moderating extremes. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but the current pattern of frequent rainfall has shifted trader consensus toward the 30 °C outcome at 42 % implied probability, followed closely by 29 °C and 31 °C. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-day observational data from Ninoy Aquino International Airport will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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