**Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Karachi on August 30" market heavily favors 30°C at near-100% implied probability.** Official forecasts and numerical weather models converge on a daily maximum near this value under typical late-August conditions: partly to mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwest monsoon winds of 15-25 km/h, and high humidity around 65-85%. This aligns with Karachi’s climatological August high of approximately 30-32°C, with recent days showing observed maxima of 28-31°C and no significant heatwave or cooling anomalies. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of model consensus from sources such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles, which show limited spread around the 29-31°C range. While forecast uncertainty exists due to potential localized cloud bursts or wind shifts, current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond the narrow band that would alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のカラチの最高気温は?
30℃ 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28℃ <1%
$25,519 Vol.
$25,519 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
100%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
30℃ 100.0%
26℃以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28℃ <1%
$25,519 Vol.
$25,519 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
100%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on the "Highest temperature in Karachi on August 30" market heavily favors 30°C at near-100% implied probability.** Official forecasts and numerical weather models converge on a daily maximum near this value under typical late-August conditions: partly to mostly cloudy skies, moderate southwest monsoon winds of 15-25 km/h, and high humidity around 65-85%. This aligns with Karachi’s climatological August high of approximately 30-32°C, with recent days showing observed maxima of 28-31°C and no significant heatwave or cooling anomalies. The market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of model consensus from sources such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles, which show limited spread around the 29-31°C range. While forecast uncertainty exists due to potential localized cloud bursts or wind shifts, current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond the narrow band that would alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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