Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or frontal activity, aligning closely with early September climatology where highs average near 27–28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, incorporates the latest model consensus runs showing stable high pressure and no substantial deviations expected overnight. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, with any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or wind patterns potentially adjusting the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
9月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
29°C 35%
30℃ 23%
28℃ 20%
31℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
25℃以下
3%
26℃
4%
27℃
6%
28℃
20%
29°C
35%
30℃
23%
31℃
7%
32°C
4%
33℃
1%
34°C
1%
35℃以上
1%
29°C 35%
30℃ 23%
28℃ 20%
31℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
25℃以下
$50 Vol.
3%
26℃
$123 Vol.
4%
27℃
$58 Vol.
6%
28℃
$462 Vol.
20%
29°C
$202 Vol.
35%
30℃
$353 Vol.
23%
31℃
$382 Vol.
7%
32°C
$42 Vol.
4%
33℃
$151 Vol.
1%
34°C
$83 Vol.
1%
35℃以上
$83 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or frontal activity, aligning closely with early September climatology where highs average near 27–28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, incorporates the latest model consensus runs showing stable high pressure and no substantial deviations expected overnight. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, with any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or wind patterns potentially adjusting the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$1,988終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or frontal activity, aligning closely with early September climatology where highs average near 27–28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, incorporates the latest model consensus runs showing stable high pressure and no substantial deviations expected overnight. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, with any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or wind patterns potentially adjusting the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,988終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF project a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Istanbul on September 6 under clear, sunny skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong daytime heating without significant moisture or frontal activity, aligning closely with early September climatology where highs average near 27–28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the elevated implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, incorporates the latest model consensus runs showing stable high pressure and no substantial deviations expected overnight. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from stations such as Istanbul Atatürk Airport, with any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer mixing or wind patterns potentially adjusting the exact maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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