Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing on September 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 35–36°C under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and low precipitation risk, supporting strong daytime heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. This consensus from sources including official model runs positions 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes, with traders incorporating urban heat island effects and typical model uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Stable high-pressure patterns over the past 48 hours have shown no significant cooling trends, keeping implied probabilities aligned with historical early-September baselines around 34–37°C. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の重慶の最高気温は?
37℃ 47%
36℃ 34%
35℃ 10%
38℃ 9%
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
2%
35℃
10%
36℃
34%
37℃
47%
38℃
9%
39℃
3%
40℃
1%
41℃以上
<1%
37℃ 47%
36℃ 34%
35℃ 10%
38℃ 9%
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
2%
35℃
10%
36℃
34%
37℃
47%
38℃
9%
39℃
3%
40℃
1%
41℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts for Chongqing on September 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 35–36°C under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and low precipitation risk, supporting strong daytime heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. This consensus from sources including official model runs positions 36°C and 37°C as the leading market outcomes, with traders incorporating urban heat island effects and typical model uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Stable high-pressure patterns over the past 48 hours have shown no significant cooling trends, keeping implied probabilities aligned with historical early-September baselines around 34–37°C. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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