Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の成都の最高気温は？
8月31日の成都の最高気温は？
36°C 42%
35°C 36%
34°C 15%
33°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
36%
36°C
42%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
35°C 36%
34°C 15%
33°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
29°C or below
$636 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$396 Vol.
2%
33°C
$408 Vol.
6%
34°C
$760 Vol.
15%
35°C
$703 Vol.
36%
36°C
$2,348 Vol.
42%
37°C
$1,193 Vol.
6%
38°C
$433 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$8,896終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,896終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models for Chengdu on August 31 indicate mostly clear skies and light winds under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, supporting peak heating near 33–35 °C from full solar insolation and minimal cloud cover or mixing. Official guidance clusters around 32–34 °C, with some dynamical runs showing brief afternoon warming to 35–36 °C depending on boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects at the reference station. Trader preference for 35–36 °C (78 % combined) reflects emphasis on upper-end ensemble members amid typical late-August variability, where small differences in dew-point depression or wind direction can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Resolution hinges on the official China Meteorological Administration observation; updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the spread before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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