**Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C high in Busan on September 5, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds of 15–20 mph moderating humidity while permitting afternoon peaks near this level, consistent with late-summer patterns where daily maxima typically range 26–29°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble guidance align closely with this threshold, leaving little room for deviation on the final measurement day. Only unexpected shifts—such as earlier cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revised station data—could realistically alter the outcome, though recent model runs show high agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の釜山の最高気温は?
29℃ 99.7%
31℃ <1%
32℃以上 <1%
30°C <1%
$28,767 Vol.
$28,767 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
100%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
29℃ 99.7%
31℃ <1%
32℃以上 <1%
30°C <1%
$28,767 Vol.
$28,767 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
100%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C high in Busan on September 5, 2026, with 99.7% implied probability.** Current forecasts from multiple models show partly cloudy conditions with northeast winds of 15–20 mph moderating humidity while permitting afternoon peaks near this level, consistent with late-summer patterns where daily maxima typically range 26–29°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and ensemble guidance align closely with this threshold, leaving little room for deviation on the final measurement day. Only unexpected shifts—such as earlier cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revised station data—could realistically alter the outcome, though recent model runs show high agreement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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