South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection, handed down in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with additional multi-year terms imposed in separate proceedings including a June 2026 ruling on related charges. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed through higher courts, a process that historically extends well beyond initial verdicts without immediate release. Extended detention warrants and the cumulative effect of these convictions have reinforced trader consensus around sustained custody through 2026, as no procedural or executive developments have emerged to alter the timeline for potential parole, acquittal, or sentence reduction before the end of the year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% probabilità
$200,348 Vol.
$200,348 Vol.
30 dic 2026
8% probabilità
$200,348 Vol.
$200,348 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection, handed down in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with additional multi-year terms imposed in separate proceedings including a June 2026 ruling on related charges. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed through higher courts, a process that historically extends well beyond initial verdicts without immediate release. Extended detention warrants and the cumulative effect of these convictions have reinforced trader consensus around sustained custody through 2026, as no procedural or executive developments have emerged to alter the timeline for potential parole, acquittal, or sentence reduction before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$200,348Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection, handed down in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with additional multi-year terms imposed in separate proceedings including a June 2026 ruling on related charges. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed through higher courts, a process that historically extends well beyond initial verdicts without immediate release. Extended detention warrants and the cumulative effect of these convictions have reinforced trader consensus around sustained custody through 2026, as no procedural or executive developments have emerged to alter the timeline for potential parole, acquittal, or sentence reduction before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,348Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection, handed down in February 2026 over his 2024 martial law declaration, with additional multi-year terms imposed in separate proceedings including a June 2026 ruling on related charges. He remains held at Seoul Detention Center while appeals proceed through higher courts, a process that historically extends well beyond initial verdicts without immediate release. Extended detention warrants and the cumulative effect of these convictions have reinforced trader consensus around sustained custody through 2026, as no procedural or executive developments have emerged to alter the timeline for potential parole, acquittal, or sentence reduction before the end of the year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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