**Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Anchorage summit has largely stalled amid limited progress on Ukraine peace talks and continued battlefield escalation, leading traders to assign the highest probability (60.5%) to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31.** Occasional high-level phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed to continue discussions, have not produced scheduled bilateral summits or breakthroughs. China holds the next-highest share (33.5%) due to sustained Russia-China alignment and recent parallel high-level visits to Beijing, positioning it as a plausible neutral or multilateral venue. U.S. hosting remains low-probability (4.0%) given domestic political constraints and the scheduled December 2026 G20 timing. Other locations trail with minimal signals of active bilateral scheduling through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin nel 2026?
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 61%
China 34%
United States 3.8%
Other <1%
$501,385 Vol.
$501,385 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
61%
China
34%
United States
4%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
1%
Gulf country
1%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
<1%
Finland
<1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre 61%
China 34%
United States 3.8%
Other <1%
$501,385 Vol.
$501,385 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Nessun incontro entro il 31 dicembre
$102,513 Vol.
61%
China
$64,663 Vol.
34%
United States
$25,765 Vol.
4%
Other
$18,160 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$16,060 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$25,145 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$17,282 Vol.
1%
Russia
$66,497 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$20,695 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$21,461 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$21,948 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$17,474 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$17,686 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Anchorage summit has largely stalled amid limited progress on Ukraine peace talks and continued battlefield escalation, leading traders to assign the highest probability (60.5%) to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31.** Occasional high-level phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed to continue discussions, have not produced scheduled bilateral summits or breakthroughs. China holds the next-highest share (33.5%) due to sustained Russia-China alignment and recent parallel high-level visits to Beijing, positioning it as a plausible neutral or multilateral venue. U.S. hosting remains low-probability (4.0%) given domestic political constraints and the scheduled December 2026 G20 timing. Other locations trail with minimal signals of active bilateral scheduling through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$501,385Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Anchorage summit has largely stalled amid limited progress on Ukraine peace talks and continued battlefield escalation, leading traders to assign the highest probability (60.5%) to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31.** Occasional high-level phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed to continue discussions, have not produced scheduled bilateral summits or breakthroughs. China holds the next-highest share (33.5%) due to sustained Russia-China alignment and recent parallel high-level visits to Beijing, positioning it as a plausible neutral or multilateral venue. U.S. hosting remains low-probability (4.0%) given domestic political constraints and the scheduled December 2026 G20 timing. Other locations trail with minimal signals of active bilateral scheduling through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$501,385Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Diplomatic momentum from the August 2025 Anchorage summit has largely stalled amid limited progress on Ukraine peace talks and continued battlefield escalation, leading traders to assign the highest probability (60.5%) to no Trump-Putin in-person meeting by December 31.** Occasional high-level phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed to continue discussions, have not produced scheduled bilateral summits or breakthroughs. China holds the next-highest share (33.5%) due to sustained Russia-China alignment and recent parallel high-level visits to Beijing, positioning it as a plausible neutral or multilateral venue. U.S. hosting remains low-probability (4.0%) given domestic political constraints and the scheduled December 2026 G20 timing. Other locations trail with minimal signals of active bilateral scheduling through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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