Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports for safety, with multiple multi-hour suspensions recorded during large-scale attacks in June 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the pattern of these incidents amid the broader conflict, alongside July 2026 airspace measures that lowered altitudes and banned transit flights over the area through at least late August. Recent NOTAMs from Rosaviatsiya and Defense Ministry intercepts of hundreds of drones underscore the direct link between strike frequency and closures. Continued escalation in long-range drone activity or shifts in Russian air defense posture could alter the likelihood of further suspensions by key resolution dates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTraffico aereo di Mosca sospeso da...?
31 agosto
76%
15 settembre
77%
30 settembre
87%
$347 Vol.
31 agosto
76%
15 settembre
77%
30 settembre
87%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo airports for safety, with multiple multi-hour suspensions recorded during large-scale attacks in June 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the pattern of these incidents amid the broader conflict, alongside July 2026 airspace measures that lowered altitudes and banned transit flights over the area through at least late August. Recent NOTAMs from Rosaviatsiya and Defense Ministry intercepts of hundreds of drones underscore the direct link between strike frequency and closures. Continued escalation in long-range drone activity or shifts in Russian air defense posture could alter the likelihood of further suspensions by key resolution dates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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