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Mondo·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

icon for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Mondo·Australia

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese 40%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 16%

Jim Chalmers 6.0%

Polymarket

$16,759 Vol.

Anthony Albanese 40%

Angus Taylor 20%

Pauline Hanson 16%

Jim Chalmers 6.0%

Polymarket

$16,759 Vol.

icon for Anthony Albanese

Anthony Albanese

$1,568 Vol.

40%

icon for Angus Taylor

Angus Taylor

$2,059 Vol.

20%

icon for Pauline Hanson

Pauline Hanson

$11,433 Vol.

16%

icon for Jim Chalmers

Jim Chalmers

$820 Vol.

6%

icon for Robbie Katter

Robbie Katter

$391 Vol.

1%

icon for Larissa Waters

Larissa Waters

$487 Vol.

1%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australian federal politics remains highly fluid more than two years before the 2028 election, with primary vote support split among Labor, the Coalition under Opposition Leader Angus Taylor, and One Nation led by Pauline Hanson. Recent polling shows persistent volatility, including One Nation surges and mixed preferred prime minister results involving Albanese, Taylor, and Hanson, alongside Albanese’s negative net approval ratings. These factors, combined with potential party leadership shifts, preference flows under compulsory voting, and the long timeline allowing for economic or campaign developments, sustain tight market pricing across multiple contenders and the broad “Other” category. Scheduled events such as budgets and state by-elections could further influence positioning ahead of the federal contest.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,759
Data di fine
23 set 2028
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australian federal politics remains highly fluid more than two years before the 2028 election, with primary vote support split among Labor, the Coalition under Opposition Leader Angus Taylor, and One Nation led by Pauline Hanson. Recent polling shows persistent volatility, including One Nation surges and mixed preferred prime minister results involving Albanese, Taylor, and Hanson, alongside Albanese’s negative net approval ratings. These factors, combined with potential party leadership shifts, preference flows under compulsory voting, and the long timeline allowing for economic or campaign developments, sustain tight market pricing across multiple contenders and the broad “Other” category. Scheduled events such as budgets and state by-elections could further influence positioning ahead of the federal contest.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,759
Data di fine
23 set 2028
Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Anthony Albanese" a 40%, seguito da "Angus Taylor" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" ha generato $16.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 10, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" è "Anthony Albanese" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Angus Taylor" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.