Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no bilateral meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy by the August 31 deadline because direct leader-level talks remain stalled despite intermittent U.S.-mediated efforts. Putin has repeatedly rejected Zelenskyy’s public proposals for face-to-face negotiations, citing lack of progress on core Russian demands such as territorial recognition and security guarantees. Recent trilateral discussions in early 2026 produced no breakthrough and were overshadowed by the Iran conflict, while subsequent U.S. envoy visits yielded only limited prisoner exchanges and military dialogue restarts. With twelve days remaining and no scheduled summit or credible last-minute diplomatic channel active, market pricing reflects the entrenched impasse and absence of imminent catalysts capable of reversing that pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPutin incontrerà Zelenskyy entro il 31 agosto 2026?
Sì
$74,814 Vol.
$74,814 Vol.
Sì
$74,814 Vol.
$74,814 Vol.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.6% probability to no bilateral meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy by the August 31 deadline because direct leader-level talks remain stalled despite intermittent U.S.-mediated efforts. Putin has repeatedly rejected Zelenskyy’s public proposals for face-to-face negotiations, citing lack of progress on core Russian demands such as territorial recognition and security guarantees. Recent trilateral discussions in early 2026 produced no breakthrough and were overshadowed by the Iran conflict, while subsequent U.S. envoy visits yielded only limited prisoner exchanges and military dialogue restarts. With twelve days remaining and no scheduled summit or credible last-minute diplomatic channel active, market pricing reflects the entrenched impasse and absence of imminent catalysts capable of reversing that pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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