**Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democrat Adam Hamilton, consistent with the state's longstanding Republican lean and historical Senate voting patterns.** Marshall, first elected in 2020, secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field as the nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Solid or Likely Republican category, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and base turnout dynamics. Recent internal and public polls show Marshall ahead by margins of roughly 1 to 8 points, with fundraising data indicating Hamilton attracted notable early support but limited broader traction in the general electorate. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, and factors such as turnout among rural and suburban voters or any late shifts in national conditions could influence the final margin, though the structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant market driver.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$42,138 Vol.
$42,138 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
81%
Democratico
19%
$42,138 Vol.
$42,138 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$27,361 Vol.
81%
Democratico
$14,777 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democrat Adam Hamilton, consistent with the state's longstanding Republican lean and historical Senate voting patterns.** Marshall, first elected in 2020, secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field as the nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Solid or Likely Republican category, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and base turnout dynamics. Recent internal and public polls show Marshall ahead by margins of roughly 1 to 8 points, with fundraising data indicating Hamilton attracted notable early support but limited broader traction in the general electorate. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, and factors such as turnout among rural and suburban voters or any late shifts in national conditions could influence the final margin, though the structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant market driver.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$42,138Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democrat Adam Hamilton, consistent with the state's longstanding Republican lean and historical Senate voting patterns.** Marshall, first elected in 2020, secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field as the nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Solid or Likely Republican category, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and base turnout dynamics. Recent internal and public polls show Marshall ahead by margins of roughly 1 to 8 points, with fundraising data indicating Hamilton attracted notable early support but limited broader traction in the general electorate. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, and factors such as turnout among rural and suburban voters or any late shifts in national conditions could influence the final margin, though the structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant market driver.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$42,138Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race against Democrat Adam Hamilton, consistent with the state's longstanding Republican lean and historical Senate voting patterns.** Marshall, first elected in 2020, secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in the August 4 primary, while Hamilton emerged from a crowded Democratic field as the nominee. Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and nonpartisan ratings place the contest in the Solid or Likely Republican category, reflecting the state's partisan voting index and base turnout dynamics. Recent internal and public polls show Marshall ahead by margins of roughly 1 to 8 points, with fundraising data indicating Hamilton attracted notable early support but limited broader traction in the general electorate. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, and factors such as turnout among rural and suburban voters or any late shifts in national conditions could influence the final margin, though the structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant market driver.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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