**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources places Zhengzhou’s overnight low on August 25 near 25–26 °C, supported by high humidity, lingering moisture from recent showers, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Subtropical summer patterns and light easterly flow keep temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with historical August baselines for the region. The near-even market split between “15 °C or below” and “25 °C or higher” therefore reflects genuine model uncertainty around cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture rather than any credible cold-air advection; ensemble spreads remain narrow and centered well above 20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the slim possibility of stronger nocturnal cooling against the dominant signal from operational guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by local stations before sunrise.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 97%
15°C or below 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
15°C or below
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
97%
25°C or higher 97%
15°C or below 55%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
15°C or below
55%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources places Zhengzhou’s overnight low on August 25 near 25–26 °C, supported by high humidity, lingering moisture from recent showers, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.** Subtropical summer patterns and light easterly flow keep temperatures from dropping sharply, consistent with historical August baselines for the region. The near-even market split between “15 °C or below” and “25 °C or higher” therefore reflects genuine model uncertainty around cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture rather than any credible cold-air advection; ensemble spreads remain narrow and centered well above 20 °C. Traders appear to weigh the slim possibility of stronger nocturnal cooling against the dominant signal from operational guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by local stations before sunrise.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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