Current forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington stations place the day's minimum temperature at 11°C, aligning with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Northwest winds and mostly cloudy conditions have held overnight lows near 11–12°C while daytime readings reached 13–14°C, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region and official model consensus. Traders price in the strong likelihood of this threshold based on National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and airport data trends. A rapid cold-air intrusion or localized measurement revision below 11°C remains the main realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though current atmospheric patterns show little indication of such a change before the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
11°C 99.6%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99.6%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
7°C or below
$67 Vol.
1%
8°C
$76 Vol.
1%
9°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$530 Vol.
100%
12°C
$1,793 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,206 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington stations place the day's minimum temperature at 11°C, aligning with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Northwest winds and mostly cloudy conditions have held overnight lows near 11–12°C while daytime readings reached 13–14°C, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region and official model consensus. Traders price in the strong likelihood of this threshold based on National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and airport data trends. A rapid cold-air intrusion or localized measurement revision below 11°C remains the main realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though current atmospheric patterns show little indication of such a change before the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,045Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington stations place the day's minimum temperature at 11°C, aligning with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Northwest winds and mostly cloudy conditions have held overnight lows near 11–12°C while daytime readings reached 13–14°C, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region and official model consensus. Traders price in the strong likelihood of this threshold based on National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and airport data trends. A rapid cold-air intrusion or localized measurement revision below 11°C remains the main realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though current atmospheric patterns show little indication of such a change before the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,045Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and real-time observations from Wellington stations place the day's minimum temperature at 11°C, aligning with the market's 99.6% implied probability for that outcome. Northwest winds and mostly cloudy conditions have held overnight lows near 11–12°C while daytime readings reached 13–14°C, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region and official model consensus. Traders price in the strong likelihood of this threshold based on National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research and airport data trends. A rapid cold-air intrusion or localized measurement revision below 11°C remains the main realistic scenario that could shift resolution, though current atmospheric patterns show little indication of such a change before the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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