Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Chongqing on September 5 at 35°C because official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies consistently project a daytime maximum near that level under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Recent days have seen similar readings in the mid-30s°C, aligning with late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subsidence and minimal cloud cover favor peak heating. September climatology shows average highs near 28–29°C, yet the current pattern of stable high pressure supports the elevated outcome. The small probabilities assigned to 36°C or higher reflect limited upside if insolation exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes would require unforecasted afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover that monitoring data have not indicated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
35°C 99.7%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$38,679 Vol.
$38,679 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.7%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
$38,679 Vol.
$38,679 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in Chongqing on September 5 at 35°C because official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies consistently project a daytime maximum near that level under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Recent days have seen similar readings in the mid-30s°C, aligning with late-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subsidence and minimal cloud cover favor peak heating. September climatology shows average highs near 28–29°C, yet the current pattern of stable high pressure supports the elevated outcome. The small probabilities assigned to 36°C or higher reflect limited upside if insolation exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes would require unforecasted afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover that monitoring data have not indicated.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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