Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 7 projects a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligning with seasonal late-summer norms near the 93 °F climatological average. Heat indices may reach 105 °F amid typical humidity, though precipitation chances remain low. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered in the 90–105 °F ranges while the elevated weighting on 106 °F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the historical precedent of a 106 °F reading in 2023. Updated model runs and any late shifts in steering patterns or moisture could alter the final official maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on September 7?
96-97°F 49%
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 49%
94-95°F 26%
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
16%
106°F or higher
15%
96-97°F 49%
98-99°F 49%
100-101°F 49%
94-95°F 26%
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
16%
106°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 7 projects a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligning with seasonal late-summer norms near the 93 °F climatological average. Heat indices may reach 105 °F amid typical humidity, though precipitation chances remain low. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustered in the 90–105 °F ranges while the elevated weighting on 106 °F or higher reflects residual uncertainty in longer-range guidance and the historical precedent of a 106 °F reading in 2023. Updated model runs and any late shifts in steering patterns or moisture could alter the final official maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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