**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan meteorological authorities and international models consistently project a daytime high of 31°C for September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus, supported by current afternoon observations climbing toward 28–30°C and climatological norms for early September in the region, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for 31°C. Traders are pricing in the absence of strong convective cooling or unexpected cloud buildup that could cap the peak lower, while the low odds on 32°C+ reflect limited upside potential from the current stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift only if localized showers or measurement timing deviates from model expectations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
31°C 94%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$31,923 Vol.
$31,923 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
94%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 94%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$31,923 Vol.
$31,923 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
$4,418 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,051 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,122 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,873 Vol.
94%
32°C
$2,762 Vol.
5%
33°C
$2,553 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,461 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$989 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan meteorological authorities and international models consistently project a daytime high of 31°C for September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus, supported by current afternoon observations climbing toward 28–30°C and climatological norms for early September in the region, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for 31°C. Traders are pricing in the absence of strong convective cooling or unexpected cloud buildup that could cap the peak lower, while the low odds on 32°C+ reflect limited upside potential from the current stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift only if localized showers or measurement timing deviates from model expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,923Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan meteorological authorities and international models consistently project a daytime high of 31°C for September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus, supported by current afternoon observations climbing toward 28–30°C and climatological norms for early September in the region, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for 31°C. Traders are pricing in the absence of strong convective cooling or unexpected cloud buildup that could cap the peak lower, while the low odds on 32°C+ reflect limited upside potential from the current stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift only if localized showers or measurement timing deviates from model expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,923Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Wuhan meteorological authorities and international models consistently project a daytime high of 31°C for September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeast winds.** This consensus, supported by current afternoon observations climbing toward 28–30°C and climatological norms for early September in the region, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97% implied probability for 31°C. Traders are pricing in the absence of strong convective cooling or unexpected cloud buildup that could cap the peak lower, while the low odds on 32°C+ reflect limited upside potential from the current stable high-pressure influence. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift only if localized showers or measurement timing deviates from model expectations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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