**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 4 due to official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming a daily maximum near that level amid persistent cloud cover and rain.** Hourly data from the observatory showed peak readings around 30.2°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, consistent with forecast models incorporating monsoon influences and typical early-September climatology of highs near 30–31°C. Widespread thunderstorms and high humidity suppressed further warming, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. A realistic challenge would require an upward revision in official data or use of an alternative station exceeding the threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are released.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$201,987 Vol.
$201,987 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
30°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$201,987 Vol.
$201,987 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$15,994 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,388 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,242 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15,262 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$29,386 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$32,203 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$46,416 Vol.
100%
32°C
$31,631 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$17,241 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 4 due to official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming a daily maximum near that level amid persistent cloud cover and rain.**
Hourly data from the observatory showed peak readings around 30.2°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, consistent with forecast models incorporating monsoon influences and typical early-September climatology of highs near 30–31°C. Widespread thunderstorms and high humidity suppressed further warming, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%.
A realistic challenge would require an upward revision in official data or use of an alternative station exceeding the threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$201,987Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 4 due to official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming a daily maximum near that level amid persistent cloud cover and rain.**
Hourly data from the observatory showed peak readings around 30.2°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, consistent with forecast models incorporating monsoon influences and typical early-September climatology of highs near 30–31°C. Widespread thunderstorms and high humidity suppressed further warming, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%.
A realistic challenge would require an upward revision in official data or use of an alternative station exceeding the threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$201,987Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 4 due to official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming a daily maximum near that level amid persistent cloud cover and rain.** Hourly data from the observatory showed peak readings around 30.2°C in the mid-afternoon before declining, consistent with forecast models incorporating monsoon influences and typical early-September climatology of highs near 30–31°C. Widespread thunderstorms and high humidity suppressed further warming, aligning with the market-implied probability exceeding 99%. A realistic challenge would require an upward revision in official data or use of an alternative station exceeding the threshold, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are released.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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