Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Afternoon readings have already approached this level without exceeding it, aligning with climatological expectations for early September in the region. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds near 99% for 29°C. A realistic shift would require unexpected intensification of solar heating, a sudden wind pattern change, or station-specific measurement differences between Seoul and Incheon, though such factors appear unlikely given the consistent data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?
29°C 98.6%
30°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$56,134 Vol.
$56,134 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
99%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 98.6%
30°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$56,134 Vol.
$56,134 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
99%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 29°C in Seoul and Incheon on September 5, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and negligible precipitation risk. Afternoon readings have already approached this level without exceeding it, aligning with climatological expectations for early September in the region. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds near 99% for 29°C. A realistic shift would require unexpected intensification of solar heating, a sudden wind pattern change, or station-specific measurement differences between Seoul and Incheon, though such factors appear unlikely given the consistent data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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