Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6, 2026, under mostly clear skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 6–9 m/s. This consensus, reinforced by hourly model runs showing afternoon peaks near 29°C without significant cloud cover or precipitation, underpins the market's strong preference for 29°C at 56.5% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-September climatology—with daily highs averaging 26–28°C—limit upside risk to 30°C or above, while overnight minima near 19–21°C cap any downward revision. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 6?
29°C 57%
28°C 24%
30°C 17%
31°C 3%
$25,092 Vol.
$25,092 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
24%
29°C
57%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 57%
28°C 24%
30°C 17%
31°C 3%
$25,092 Vol.
$25,092 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
24%
29°C
57%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29°C for Incheon on September 6, 2026, under mostly clear skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 6–9 m/s. This consensus, reinforced by hourly model runs showing afternoon peaks near 29°C without significant cloud cover or precipitation, underpins the market's strong preference for 29°C at 56.5% implied probability. Stable high-pressure conditions and typical early-September climatology—with daily highs averaging 26–28°C—limit upside risk to 30°C or above, while overnight minima near 19–21°C cap any downward revision. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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