**Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 6 will likely settle between 12–14°C under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiational cooling after sunset.** Trader consensus, with 13°C at 36% implied probability and 12°C at 32.5%, reflects tight model agreement around these values while acknowledging small spreads from local urban heat island effects and exact cloud cover timing. Historical climatology places the September 6 average low near 12.6°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster here rather than at warmer or colder extremes. Météo-France and other official guidance continue to point to minimums near 15°C early in the night before further cooling, with final resolution hinging on the 00–06 UTC observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 6?
12°C 42%
13°C 37%
15°C 23%
14°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
19%
12°C
32%
13°C
37%
14°C
21%
15°C
23%
16°C
13%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 37%
15°C 23%
14°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$608 Vol.
32%
13°C
$273 Vol.
37%
14°C
$238 Vol.
21%
15°C
$21 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 6 will likely settle between 12–14°C under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiational cooling after sunset.** Trader consensus, with 13°C at 36% implied probability and 12°C at 32.5%, reflects tight model agreement around these values while acknowledging small spreads from local urban heat island effects and exact cloud cover timing. Historical climatology places the September 6 average low near 12.6°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster here rather than at warmer or colder extremes. Météo-France and other official guidance continue to point to minimums near 15°C early in the night before further cooling, with final resolution hinging on the 00–06 UTC observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,156Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 6 will likely settle between 12–14°C under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiational cooling after sunset.** Trader consensus, with 13°C at 36% implied probability and 12°C at 32.5%, reflects tight model agreement around these values while acknowledging small spreads from local urban heat island effects and exact cloud cover timing. Historical climatology places the September 6 average low near 12.6°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster here rather than at warmer or colder extremes. Météo-France and other official guidance continue to point to minimums near 15°C early in the night before further cooling, with final resolution hinging on the 00–06 UTC observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,156Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 6 will likely settle between 12–14°C under building high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiational cooling after sunset.** Trader consensus, with 13°C at 36% implied probability and 12°C at 32.5%, reflects tight model agreement around these values while acknowledging small spreads from local urban heat island effects and exact cloud cover timing. Historical climatology places the September 6 average low near 12.6°C, providing context for why probabilities cluster here rather than at warmer or colder extremes. Météo-France and other official guidance continue to point to minimums near 15°C early in the night before further cooling, with final resolution hinging on the 00–06 UTC observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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