**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, strongly favors 25°C (79.5% implied probability), followed by 24°C (23%), with lower outcomes receiving minimal support.** Multiple official and model forecasts issued on or before August 23 consistently project overnight lows in the 24–25°C range. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location, combined with high humidity (often 70–90% at night), cloud cover from monsoon-season convection, and urban heat retention, typically prevents sharp radiative cooling. Recent short-term guidance highlights scattered thunderstorms and light rain through the evening, which maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C and limit temperature drops. Historical August climatology shows average nighttime minima around 23–24°C, but 2026 conditions—marked by persistent warmth and moisture—align with the higher end of that range. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational updates from local stations will determine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C, though current data and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
25°C 99%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
29%
23°C
18%
24°C
21%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$284 Vol.
1%
22°C
$112 Vol.
29%
23°C
$95 Vol.
18%
24°C
$113 Vol.
21%
25°C
$247 Vol.
99%
26°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, strongly favors 25°C (79.5% implied probability), followed by 24°C (23%), with lower outcomes receiving minimal support.**
Multiple official and model forecasts issued on or before August 23 consistently project overnight lows in the 24–25°C range. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location, combined with high humidity (often 70–90% at night), cloud cover from monsoon-season convection, and urban heat retention, typically prevents sharp radiative cooling. Recent short-term guidance highlights scattered thunderstorms and light rain through the evening, which maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C and limit temperature drops.
Historical August climatology shows average nighttime minima around 23–24°C, but 2026 conditions—marked by persistent warmth and moisture—align with the higher end of that range. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational updates from local stations will determine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C, though current data and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,860Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, strongly favors 25°C (79.5% implied probability), followed by 24°C (23%), with lower outcomes receiving minimal support.**
Multiple official and model forecasts issued on or before August 23 consistently project overnight lows in the 24–25°C range. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location, combined with high humidity (often 70–90% at night), cloud cover from monsoon-season convection, and urban heat retention, typically prevents sharp radiative cooling. Recent short-term guidance highlights scattered thunderstorms and light rain through the evening, which maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C and limit temperature drops.
Historical August climatology shows average nighttime minima around 23–24°C, but 2026 conditions—marked by persistent warmth and moisture—align with the higher end of that range. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational updates from local stations will determine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C, though current data and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,860Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, strongly favors 25°C (79.5% implied probability), followed by 24°C (23%), with lower outcomes receiving minimal support.** Multiple official and model forecasts issued on or before August 23 consistently project overnight lows in the 24–25°C range. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin location, combined with high humidity (often 70–90% at night), cloud cover from monsoon-season convection, and urban heat retention, typically prevents sharp radiative cooling. Recent short-term guidance highlights scattered thunderstorms and light rain through the evening, which maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C and limit temperature drops. Historical August climatology shows average nighttime minima around 23–24°C, but 2026 conditions—marked by persistent warmth and moisture—align with the higher end of that range. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational updates from local stations will determine whether the low settles at 25°C or edges to 24°C, though current data and model consensus support the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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