Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService New Zealand, point to a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 6 under moderate northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover typical of early spring. These conditions align with climatological norms for the month, where average highs hover near 14–15°C, and recent model consensus shows limited spread ahead of the event. Partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 16°C, while showers or stronger winds may limit peaks closer to 15°C. Official station observations at the close of the day will determine the precise outcome, with traders weighting the tight forecast envelope and historical variability in spring maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
15°C 54%
16°C 37%
14°C 5%
17°C 3%
$13,698 Vol.
$13,698 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
54%
16°C
37%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 37%
14°C 5%
17°C 3%
$13,698 Vol.
$13,698 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
54%
16°C
37%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService New Zealand, point to a maximum temperature of 15–16°C in Wellington on September 6 under moderate northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover typical of early spring. These conditions align with climatological norms for the month, where average highs hover near 14–15°C, and recent model consensus shows limited spread ahead of the event. Partial clearing could allow brief warming toward 16°C, while showers or stronger winds may limit peaks closer to 15°C. Official station observations at the close of the day will determine the precise outcome, with traders weighting the tight forecast envelope and historical variability in spring maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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