Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 26 high centers on 34–35°C because JMA guidance and ensemble models converge on that range amid a strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence warming and above-normal late-summer heat. Slight differentiation between these outcomes stems from forecast spread on afternoon convection and cloud cover, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies allowing full insolation and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Weak steering flow and lingering humidity further limit model certainty, with any late-day showers or wind shifts as the key variables that could shift resolution between the two leading bins. Updated JMA runs and short-range guidance will clarify the signal ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
34°C 34%
35°C 31%
33°C 23%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
23%
34°C
34%
35°C
31%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
35°C 31%
33°C 23%
36°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$228 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
23%
34°C
$2 Vol.
34%
35°C
$15 Vol.
31%
36°C
$163 Vol.
11%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 26 high centers on 34–35°C because JMA guidance and ensemble models converge on that range amid a strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence warming and above-normal late-summer heat. Slight differentiation between these outcomes stems from forecast spread on afternoon convection and cloud cover, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies allowing full insolation and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Weak steering flow and lingering humidity further limit model certainty, with any late-day showers or wind shifts as the key variables that could shift resolution between the two leading bins. Updated JMA runs and short-range guidance will clarify the signal ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 26 high centers on 34–35°C because JMA guidance and ensemble models converge on that range amid a strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence warming and above-normal late-summer heat. Slight differentiation between these outcomes stems from forecast spread on afternoon convection and cloud cover, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies allowing full insolation and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Weak steering flow and lingering humidity further limit model certainty, with any late-day showers or wind shifts as the key variables that could shift resolution between the two leading bins. Updated JMA runs and short-range guidance will clarify the signal ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tokyo's August 26 high centers on 34–35°C because JMA guidance and ensemble models converge on that range amid a strengthened Pacific High driving subsidence warming and above-normal late-summer heat. Slight differentiation between these outcomes stems from forecast spread on afternoon convection and cloud cover, which could shave 1°C off peaks, versus clearer skies allowing full insolation and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. Weak steering flow and lingering humidity further limit model certainty, with any late-day showers or wind shifts as the key variables that could shift resolution between the two leading bins. Updated JMA runs and short-range guidance will clarify the signal ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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