Current numerical weather prediction models for Jeddah on September 6 indicate a maximum temperature most likely between 35–37°C, driving the close market-implied odds of 40.5% for 36°C and 38.5% for 37°C. Persistent high pressure, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy conditions limit daytime heating while Red Sea moisture and typical late-summer subsidence maintain warmth near historical September averages of 36–38°C. Ensemble spreads show minor disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate the two leading outcomes, with limited risk of exceeding 38°C under current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 12%
35°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
41%
37°C
39%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 12%
35°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
41%
37°C
39%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models for Jeddah on September 6 indicate a maximum temperature most likely between 35–37°C, driving the close market-implied odds of 40.5% for 36°C and 38.5% for 37°C. Persistent high pressure, northwest winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy conditions limit daytime heating while Red Sea moisture and typical late-summer subsidence maintain warmth near historical September averages of 36–38°C. Ensemble spreads show minor disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate the two leading outcomes, with limited risk of exceeding 38°C under current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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