The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDeepSeek 34%
Google 24%
Moonshot 24%
Microsoft 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
DeepSeek
34%
24%
Moonshot
24%
Microsoft
24%
OpenAI
22%
ByteDance
22%
MiniMax
21%
Anthropic
20%
Z.ai
15%
Alibaba
14%
Baidu
14%
Xiaomi
14%
Meituan
14%
StepFun
14%
SpaceXAI
13%
Tencent
13%
Nvidia
13%
Meta
11%
Amazon
10%
Mistral
10%
Thinky
10%
DeepSeek 34%
Google 24%
Moonshot 24%
Microsoft 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
34%
$0 Vol.
24%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
24%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
24%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
22%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
22%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
21%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
20%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
15%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
14%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
14%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
14%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
14%
StepFun
$0 Vol.
14%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
13%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
13%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
13%
Meta
$0 Vol.
11%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
10%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
10%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched odds near 50% for Google and a broad field of contenders reflect a highly competitive race for second place on Text Arena's math leaderboard behind Anthropic's current Claude models. Recent releases such as OpenAI's GPT-5.6 variants and Google's Gemini 3 series have delivered strong gains on math benchmarks including AIME26 and FrontierMath, while labs like Moonshot, Z.ai, Alibaba, and ByteDance post comparable arena scores through iterative reasoning improvements and open-weight updates. This leaves trader sentiment fluid, with upcoming model launches, arena voting shifts, and potential benchmark refreshes before November serving as key swing factors in a market where small capability edges can reorder rankings quickly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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