Recent releases have intensified competition on Code Arena WebDev, where OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top spot with strong agentic frontend and full-stack coding results, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 series previously led and maintains close scores. Trader consensus around 30% implied probability for several labs—including Z.ai, Anthropic, MiniMax, and Google—reflects rapid iteration by Chinese developers on cost-efficient large language models that excel in multi-step web development tasks and Pareto-optimal pricing. Key swing factors include upcoming model updates, benchmark volatility in real-world HTML/React workflows, and whether open-weight contenders can sustain gains against proprietary frontier systems before November resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourZ.ai 34%
SpaceXAI 32%
Anthropic 31%
Poolside 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Z.ai
34%
SpaceXAI
32%
Anthropic
31%
Poolside
24%
MiniMax
23%
OpenAI
22%
Thinky
16%
Xiaomi
15%
Moonshot
14%
ByteDance
14%
Meta
13%
13%
Alibaba
17%
Mistral
24%
DeepSeek
3%
Tencent
3%
Z.ai 34%
SpaceXAI 32%
Anthropic 31%
Poolside 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Z.ai
$38 Vol.
34%
SpaceXAI
$38 Vol.
32%
Anthropic
$38 Vol.
31%
Poolside
$38 Vol.
24%
MiniMax
$38 Vol.
23%
OpenAI
$38 Vol.
22%
Thinky
$38 Vol.
16%
Xiaomi
$38 Vol.
15%
Moonshot
$38 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$102 Vol.
14%
Meta
$38 Vol.
13%
$38 Vol.
13%
Alibaba
$45 Vol.
17%
Mistral
$54 Vol.
24%
DeepSeek
$21 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$21 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases have intensified competition on Code Arena WebDev, where OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top spot with strong agentic frontend and full-stack coding results, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 series previously led and maintains close scores. Trader consensus around 30% implied probability for several labs—including Z.ai, Anthropic, MiniMax, and Google—reflects rapid iteration by Chinese developers on cost-efficient large language models that excel in multi-step web development tasks and Pareto-optimal pricing. Key swing factors include upcoming model updates, benchmark volatility in real-world HTML/React workflows, and whether open-weight contenders can sustain gains against proprietary frontier systems before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
Volume
$658Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases have intensified competition on Code Arena WebDev, where OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top spot with strong agentic frontend and full-stack coding results, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 series previously led and maintains close scores. Trader consensus around 30% implied probability for several labs—including Z.ai, Anthropic, MiniMax, and Google—reflects rapid iteration by Chinese developers on cost-efficient large language models that excel in multi-step web development tasks and Pareto-optimal pricing. Key swing factors include upcoming model updates, benchmark volatility in real-world HTML/React workflows, and whether open-weight contenders can sustain gains against proprietary frontier systems before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$658Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases have intensified competition on Code Arena WebDev, where OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra recently claimed the top spot with strong agentic frontend and full-stack coding results, while Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 series previously led and maintains close scores. Trader consensus around 30% implied probability for several labs—including Z.ai, Anthropic, MiniMax, and Google—reflects rapid iteration by Chinese developers on cost-efficient large language models that excel in multi-step web development tasks and Pareto-optimal pricing. Key swing factors include upcoming model updates, benchmark volatility in real-world HTML/React workflows, and whether open-weight contenders can sustain gains against proprietary frontier systems before November resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Meta sera-t-il le troisième meilleur laboratoire Code Arena | WebDev AI à la fin novembre 2026 ?
35%
Oui
Anthropic sera-t-il le deuxième meilleur laboratoire d'IA WebDev sur Code Arena à la fin septembre 2026 ?
81%
Oui
Alibaba sera-t-il le troisième meilleur Code Arena | WebDev AI lab à la fin de septembre 2026 ?
57%
Oui
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