**Intense competition among frontier AI labs in math-specific Text Arena rankings drives the closely matched odds, with Anthropic's Claude models currently leading but multiple labs clustered nearby.** Recent releases like OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash series, Meta's Muse Spark updates, and strong showings from Z.ai's GLM-5.x, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and Alibaba's Qwen3 models highlight rapid progress in mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME26 and Arena math Elo. Chinese labs benefit from open-weight momentum and frequent iterations, while proprietary systems emphasize agentic reasoning and long-context performance. With only weeks until end-of-November resolution and ongoing model drops expected, traders see high uncertainty in pinning down third place behind likely top contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMiniMax 22%
Baidu 22%
Thinky 20%
Anthropic 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
MiniMax
22%
Baidu
22%
Thinky
20%
Anthropic
19%
Amazon
19%
Nvidia
19%
OpenAI
18%
Meta
16%
Bytedance
15%
Mistral
15%
Z.ai
14%
Microsoft
14%
Moonshot
14%
StepFun
14%
14%
Meituan
13%
Tencent
13%
DeepSeek
12%
SpaceXAI
11%
Xiaomi
11%
Alibaba
8%
MiniMax 22%
Baidu 22%
Thinky 20%
Anthropic 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
22%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
22%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
20%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
19%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
19%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
19%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
18%
Meta
$0 Vol.
16%
Bytedance
$0 Vol.
15%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
15%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
14%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
14%
StepFun
$0 Vol.
14%
$0 Vol.
14%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
13%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
12%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
11%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
11%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Intense competition among frontier AI labs in math-specific Text Arena rankings drives the closely matched odds, with Anthropic's Claude models currently leading but multiple labs clustered nearby.** Recent releases like OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash series, Meta's Muse Spark updates, and strong showings from Z.ai's GLM-5.x, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and Alibaba's Qwen3 models highlight rapid progress in mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME26 and Arena math Elo. Chinese labs benefit from open-weight momentum and frequent iterations, while proprietary systems emphasize agentic reasoning and long-context performance. With only weeks until end-of-November resolution and ongoing model drops expected, traders see high uncertainty in pinning down third place behind likely top contenders.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Intense competition among frontier AI labs in math-specific Text Arena rankings drives the closely matched odds, with Anthropic's Claude models currently leading but multiple labs clustered nearby.** Recent releases like OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash series, Meta's Muse Spark updates, and strong showings from Z.ai's GLM-5.x, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and Alibaba's Qwen3 models highlight rapid progress in mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME26 and Arena math Elo. Chinese labs benefit from open-weight momentum and frequent iterations, while proprietary systems emphasize agentic reasoning and long-context performance. With only weeks until end-of-November resolution and ongoing model drops expected, traders see high uncertainty in pinning down third place behind likely top contenders.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Intense competition among frontier AI labs in math-specific Text Arena rankings drives the closely matched odds, with Anthropic's Claude models currently leading but multiple labs clustered nearby.** Recent releases like OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra, Google's Gemini 3.8 Flash series, Meta's Muse Spark updates, and strong showings from Z.ai's GLM-5.x, Moonshot's Kimi K3, and Alibaba's Qwen3 models highlight rapid progress in mathematical reasoning benchmarks such as AIME26 and Arena math Elo. Chinese labs benefit from open-weight momentum and frequent iterations, while proprietary systems emphasize agentic reasoning and long-context performance. With only weeks until end-of-November resolution and ongoing model drops expected, traders see high uncertainty in pinning down third place behind likely top contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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