**Z.ai's GLM-5.3 series has driven its 64% implied probability as the third-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong recent arena performance among open-weight models.** Its GLM-5.3-max and flash variants rank near the top of non-proprietary entries in math-specific leaderboards, trailing only leading Anthropic Claude models while outperforming most rivals on multi-step reasoning and benchmark composites. Chinese labs including Moonshot (Kimi) and Alibaba (Qwen) hold lower odds due to slightly softer current math placements, while Western frontier labs like Google, OpenAI, and Meta sit further back amid focus on broader capabilities rather than pure math specialization. With resolution days away, any late model updates or voting surges could shift the tight middle pack, though Z.ai's consistent open-model momentum underpins current trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourZ.ai 55.2%
Alibaba 17%
Google 9%
Meta 6.6%
$66,162 Vol.
$66,162 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Z.ai
64%
Alibaba
17%
9%
Meta
7%
OpenAI
4%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 55.2%
Alibaba 17%
Google 9%
Meta 6.6%
$66,162 Vol.
$66,162 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
Z.ai
$7,701 Vol.
64%
Alibaba
$14,096 Vol.
17%
$7,913 Vol.
9%
Meta
$1,997 Vol.
7%
OpenAI
$9,945 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$2,837 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$1,992 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,793 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,639 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,720 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$2,632 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,554 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,535 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Z.ai's GLM-5.3 series has driven its 64% implied probability as the third-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong recent arena performance among open-weight models.**
Its GLM-5.3-max and flash variants rank near the top of non-proprietary entries in math-specific leaderboards, trailing only leading Anthropic Claude models while outperforming most rivals on multi-step reasoning and benchmark composites. Chinese labs including Moonshot (Kimi) and Alibaba (Qwen) hold lower odds due to slightly softer current math placements, while Western frontier labs like Google, OpenAI, and Meta sit further back amid focus on broader capabilities rather than pure math specialization. With resolution days away, any late model updates or voting surges could shift the tight middle pack, though Z.ai's consistent open-model momentum underpins current trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$66,162Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Z.ai's GLM-5.3 series has driven its 64% implied probability as the third-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong recent arena performance among open-weight models.**
Its GLM-5.3-max and flash variants rank near the top of non-proprietary entries in math-specific leaderboards, trailing only leading Anthropic Claude models while outperforming most rivals on multi-step reasoning and benchmark composites. Chinese labs including Moonshot (Kimi) and Alibaba (Qwen) hold lower odds due to slightly softer current math placements, while Western frontier labs like Google, OpenAI, and Meta sit further back amid focus on broader capabilities rather than pure math specialization. With resolution days away, any late model updates or voting surges could shift the tight middle pack, though Z.ai's consistent open-model momentum underpins current trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$66,162Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETSource de résolution
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Z.ai's GLM-5.3 series has driven its 64% implied probability as the third-best Text Arena Math lab by end-September, reflecting strong recent arena performance among open-weight models.** Its GLM-5.3-max and flash variants rank near the top of non-proprietary entries in math-specific leaderboards, trailing only leading Anthropic Claude models while outperforming most rivals on multi-step reasoning and benchmark composites. Chinese labs including Moonshot (Kimi) and Alibaba (Qwen) hold lower odds due to slightly softer current math placements, while Western frontier labs like Google, OpenAI, and Meta sit further back amid focus on broader capabilities rather than pure math specialization. With resolution days away, any late model updates or voting surges could shift the tight middle pack, though Z.ai's consistent open-model momentum underpins current trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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