Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 août 2026
31 août
13%
31 octobre
64%
31 décembre
90%
$1,957 Vol.
31 août
$527 Vol.
13%
31 octobre
$923 Vol.
64%
31 décembre
$507 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,957Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,957Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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