Recent trader consensus on the next Claude Opus release centers on Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence, with Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and the Fable/Mythos 5 line. Market-implied odds cluster around late September, fueled by unconfirmed routing leaks and developer reports suggesting an Opus 5.2 variant could arrive imminently or by month-end. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates (often every 4–8 weeks in 2026), reinforces expectations of near-term progress. Key upcoming catalysts include any official model-card update, API identifier, or earnings commentary that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$145,480 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
17 septembre
1%
20 septembre
8%
24 septembre
62%
27 septembre
75%
30 septembre
81%
31 octobre
98%
31 décembre
98%
$145,480 Vol.
17 septembre
$8,875 Vol.
1%
20 septembre
$4,382 Vol.
8%
24 septembre
$3,712 Vol.
62%
27 septembre
$2,865 Vol.
75%
30 septembre
$65,483 Vol.
81%
31 octobre
$13,502 Vol.
98%
31 décembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent trader consensus on the next Claude Opus release centers on Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence, with Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and the Fable/Mythos 5 line. Market-implied odds cluster around late September, fueled by unconfirmed routing leaks and developer reports suggesting an Opus 5.2 variant could arrive imminently or by month-end. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates (often every 4–8 weeks in 2026), reinforces expectations of near-term progress. Key upcoming catalysts include any official model-card update, API identifier, or earnings commentary that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$145,480Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Recent trader consensus on the next Claude Opus release centers on Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence, with Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and the Fable/Mythos 5 line. Market-implied odds cluster around late September, fueled by unconfirmed routing leaks and developer reports suggesting an Opus 5.2 variant could arrive imminently or by month-end. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates (often every 4–8 weeks in 2026), reinforces expectations of near-term progress. Key upcoming catalysts include any official model-card update, API identifier, or earnings commentary that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$145,480Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent trader consensus on the next Claude Opus release centers on Anthropic’s accelerated iteration cadence, with Opus 5 shipping July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and the Fable/Mythos 5 line. Market-implied odds cluster around late September, fueled by unconfirmed routing leaks and developer reports suggesting an Opus 5.2 variant could arrive imminently or by month-end. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, plus Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus updates (often every 4–8 weeks in 2026), reinforces expectations of near-term progress. Key upcoming catalysts include any official model-card update, API identifier, or earnings commentary that could confirm or delay the timeline amid ongoing safety and efficiency refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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