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icon for Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ?

Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ?

icon for Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ?

Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ?

Oui

11% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

11% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Musk's brief endorsement of Dario Amodei's September 12 "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay—posting only "Dario is right"—has not translated into signing the original July 2026 employee statement at pacingthefrontier.com.** That statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta, urges U.S. government support for international tools to coordinate and potentially slow automated AI research amid risks of uncontrolled capability acceleration. Musk and xAI have stayed outside the formal signatory list despite the July launch and Amodei's later unilateral commitments on embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline now just two weeks away and no subsequent Musk confirmation or listing on the site, traders view formal signature as unlikely given xAI's emphasis on rapid frontier progress and Musk's historical resistance to coordinated slowdown mechanisms. Key near-term catalysts include any direct X post or statement from Musk, though current sentiment reflects sustained non-participation.

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,533
Date de fin
1 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Musk's brief endorsement of Dario Amodei's September 12 "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay—posting only "Dario is right"—has not translated into signing the original July 2026 employee statement at pacingthefrontier.com.** That statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta, urges U.S. government support for international tools to coordinate and potentially slow automated AI research amid risks of uncontrolled capability acceleration. Musk and xAI have stayed outside the formal signatory list despite the July launch and Amodei's later unilateral commitments on embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline now just two weeks away and no subsequent Musk confirmation or listing on the site, traders view formal signature as unlikely given xAI's emphasis on rapid frontier progress and Musk's historical resistance to coordinated slowdown mechanisms. Key near-term catalysts include any direct X post or statement from Musk, though current sentiment reflects sustained non-participation.

In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended. The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,533
Date de fin
1 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Elon Musk signe-t-il la déclaration « Pacing the Frontier » avant le 30 septembre ? » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 11¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 11% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ? » est « Elon Musk signe-t-il la déclaration « Pacing the Frontier » avant le 30 septembre ? » à 11%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 11% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Elon Musk signe la déclaration Pacing the Frontier d'ici le 30 septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.